Patna, October 15: After months of keeping everyone guessing, Prashant Kishor has finally made up his mind, and it’s not what many expected. The political strategist who once shaped elections for others will not contest the upcoming Bihar Assembly polls.
Standing before supporters on Tuesday, the Jan Suraaj founder said he’s stepping aside “in the larger interest” of his party. No grand fight from Raghopur. No personal campaign. Instead, Kishor says his energy belongs elsewhere to “strengthening the organization” and building what he calls a genuine alternative in Bihar’s tired political field.
“I don’t want to get trapped in one seat when the state needs a full movement,” he said.
That line has set the tone for what could be one of the most curious campaigns Bihar has seen in years, a political battle without the man who started it on the ballot.
A Surprise Decision and a Swift Backlash
For months, Kishor’s potential entry from Raghopur, the RJD stronghold held by Tejashwi Yadav, had been the state’s worst-kept secret. Posters came up, party workers hinted, and local reporters were told to “watch the space.” When the decision finally dropped that Kishor wouldn’t file his papers, both the BJP and RJD pounced.
The BJP called it a “sign of weakness.” The RJD went further, saying Kishor had “surrendered before the first bullet was fired.” As one RJD leader told reporters, “If you’re so confident of changing Bihar, why not start by facing the voters yourself?”
Kishor, calm as ever, brushed off the jabs. According to The Times of India, he told his party colleagues that fighting one election wasn’t the goal; changing Bihar’s political habits was.
Still, there’s no denying the optics hurt. In a state where personal symbolism matters more than strategy memos, a leader refusing to contest can look like hesitation, not humility.
“150 Seats or Nothing”: A Gamble Few Believe
What Kishor lacks in caution, he makes up for in ambition. He’s set a target of 150 seats for Jan Suraaj out of 243 and declared that anything less would be a failure.
As reported by India Today, he put it bluntly: “If we can’t cross 150, it means the people didn’t accept us. And if we do, we’ll change Bihar for good.”
It’s a bold pitch, but political watchers are skeptical. Bihar’s landscape is thick with caste loyalties, dynastic parties, and transactional alliances. Even established outfits often struggle to break triple digits. For a brand-new party to leap past them? “It’s the dream of a campaigner, not a candidate,” said a senior journalist in Patna, half-admiring, half-dismissing.
Kishor’s supporters, however, insist he’s playing the long game. “He’s not chasing one election; he’s building a decade-long movement,” said a Jan Suraaj worker from Muzaffarpur.
That said, the “all or nothing” rhetoric could backfire. It risks turning what could have been a small but respectable debut into a story of overreach if the numbers fall flat.
Targeting Nitish Kumar: Once an Ally, Now a Foil
If there’s one politician Kishor seems eager to take down, it’s Nitish Kumar. Once his mentor in the JD(U), now his primary political villain.
In a sharp attack this week, Kishor predicted the NDA would be “wiped out” in Bihar and that Nitish “would not return as Chief Minister.” Speaking to supporters, he said the ruling alliance might not even cross 25 seats, as Hindustan Times reported.
The statement was pure Kishor part prophecy, part provocation. His years as a strategist for the BJP and JD(U) give him the insider’s knowledge to back such claims, but his critics see them as publicity moves to keep himself in headlines without contesting.
Either way, he’s struck a nerve. Nitish’s team dismissed the comments as “political fiction,” but party insiders admit privately that the CM’s once-loyal base has thinned after years of switching alliances.
The Raghopur Non-Fight
Of all the possible battlegrounds, Raghopur was the one that carried both risk and drama. It’s the Yadav family seat, symbolically loaded and electorally dangerous. Had Kishor contested there against Tejashwi, the fight would have defined the Bihar polls.
Instead, the Jan Suraaj ticket has gone to Chanchal Singh, a lesser-known face from the area. The message is clear: Kishor wants to show the party can stand on its own, even without him. Still, for many supporters, the move feels like a missed moment.
“Even if he had lost, contesting would have shown courage,” said one Patna-based political analyst. “By staying out, he looks like he’s managing, not leading.”
Inside Jan Suraaj: From Consultant to Crusader
Since launching his Jan Suraaj Yatra in 2022, Kishor has walked, ridden, and driven across Bihar’s districts, building what he describes as a “people’s platform.” His meetings often resemble open civic forums, locals griping about poor schools, unemployment, and corruption, while Kishor takes notes like a planner rather than a politician.
He’s careful with his message. No promises of freebies, no talk of caste arithmetic. Instead, it’s all about “governance, transparency, and youth involvement.” Admirers call it refreshing; skeptics call it naïve.
As The New Indian Express noted, Kishor insists this is a “movement, not a campaign.” That phrasing is deliberate, it allows him to lose the election without losing face. If Jan Suraaj performs poorly, he can claim the movement is still alive. If it surprises everyone, he’ll look visionary.
A Calculated Retreat or a Strategic Pause?
Stepping out of the race may look like retreat, but it’s also a way to avoid the brutal arithmetic of Bihar’s politics. Contesting and losing would have been personal. Steering the campaign from the sidelines keeps Kishor’s image intact, the reformer above the fray, not another defeated candidate.
Still, he’s staking everything on momentum. Without his name on the ballot, will people still turn up for Jan Suraaj? Can an untested cadre match the ground machinery of RJD or BJP? Even his allies aren’t sure.
Yet, those who’ve followed Kishor for years know he rarely plays short games. From Narendra Modi’s 2014 campaign to Mamata Banerjee’s 2021 victory, his career has been about long strategies, not instant wins. Bihar, it seems, is his biggest experiment not as a consultant, but as a reformer trying to rewrite the script he once helped others perfect.
The Stake
The Bihar Assembly elections, expected in November 2025, are shaping into a three-way contest: the ruling NDA, the RJD-led Mahagathbandhan, and Kishor’s ambitious Jan Suraaj.
He may not be on the ballot, but his presence looms large in every television debate, every social media argument, every roadside conversation about “who’s different this time.”
Whether he ends up reshaping Bihar’s politics or becoming another cautionary tale of reformers outmatched by reality will depend on what happens over the next few weeks.
For now, Prashant Kishor has made his choice to step back from the battlefield and try to lead the war. Time will tell if that’s a strategy or surrender.
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